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-   -   It doesn't look good for Romney (http://www.cougarguard.com/forum/showthread.php?t=16322)

pelagius 01-29-2008 05:08 PM

It doesn't look good for Romney
 
I think the exit polling information is leaking into the prices on intrade. Betting has swung toward McCain; last trade was $65. My guess is that the exit polls are fairly close but favor McCain by 4-5 percentage points.

BYU71 01-29-2008 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pelagius (Post 179246)
I think the exit polling information is leaking into the prices on intrade. Betting has swung toward McCain; last trade was $65. My guess is that the exit polls are fairly close but favor McCain by 4-5 percentage points at least.

Romney if he loses Fla. I think should get out. I know he has the money to do it, but it will be a real rough go. Besides that it will get trashier and trashier. He won't have media support and looks like the republican washington base is going to give it to one of their own.

I don't look forward to the elections. Not too much to choose from.

myboynoah 01-29-2008 05:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BYU71 (Post 179250)
Romney if he loses Fla. I think should get out. I know he has the money to do it, but it will be a real rough go. Besides that it will get trashier and trashier. He won't have media support and looks like the republican washington base is going to give it to one of their own.

I don't look forward to the elections. Not too much to choose from.

Yeah, doesn't look good. I tend to agree, but suspect he will stay through next week. By then he should save his money and leave the field to McCain and we'll suffer through November.

He can then come back in four years after Hillary or Obama has made a disaster of things.

DJRoss 01-29-2008 07:46 PM

Here is some actual exit poll information out of Florida...
 
http://naplesnews.com/news/2008/jan/...e-you-opinion/

All-American 01-29-2008 07:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJRoss (Post 179280)

Well, THAT little city certainly liked Romney.

MikeWaters 01-29-2008 07:51 PM

To lose Pres. Hinckley one day, and then have the 2nd greatest Mormon figure lose the next day.........heads will implode.

myboynoah 01-29-2008 07:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeWaters (Post 179284)
To lose Pres. Hinckley one day, and then have the 2nd greatest Mormon figure lose the next day.........heads will implode.

That explains the pressure I'm feeling right now.

pelagius 01-29-2008 07:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by All-American (Post 179282)
Well, THAT little city certainly liked Romney.

Ya, not particularly useful. The betting is still favoring McCain although it has tightened a bit. The exit polling info is almost certainly in the prices by now. I would be really surprised if the exit polls didn't favor McCain given the betting. The margin is not that big though; prices just haven't moved very much.

TripletDaddy 01-29-2008 07:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJRoss (Post 179280)

Per this data, more people were interested in amending their property tax than for voting for Mitt Romney.

MikeWaters 01-29-2008 07:55 PM

Well, if Hair Romney loses, he will have given it a nice ride.


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