Intrade Odds
 

for 2012. This reminds me of when Hamlet asked his mother if, after Old Hamlet died, she had moved into Claudius's room that very night, or waited a whole week out of respect for the dead.

For the GOP nomination: 1) Mitt Romney 24.5 percent, 2) Mike Huckabee 11.1 percent, 3) Sarah Palin 10.5 percent, 4) Newt Gingrich 8.9 percent

Interesting that Jindal's not even listed yet.


Odds that the Republicans will win in 2012: 40%

Could be wrong, but that sounds more like the Princess Bride than Hamlet.

I knew it was one of those Shakespeare plays.

No list is valid without Jindal. The 2012 nomination is going to be a fight between Romney and Jindal, at least I hope so.

I refuse to believe that the GOP could be so stupid as to actually nominate a hillbilly like Mike Huckabee or Sarah Palin. If Sarah Palin's interview with Katie Couric wasn't enough to convince people that Palin isn't a viable national candidate (not to mention she's not really fit to be President), then the GOP is truly a lost party.

BTW, I would welcome Newt Gingrich running. He would bring some candidness and intelligence to the race, I think.

Well, it's not the GOP's say. It's the voters'. If the DNC had had its way, Hillary would have been the nominee.

And Jindal, I don't know what to think. He's what the party desperately needs, but I just don't see America supporting two racial-minority nominees in a row. The white guys get freaked out.

But Jindal speaks with a white guy's southern accent. That should count for something.

Are there archives showing what the opening odds were for 2008, four years ago?

Has intrade been around that long?

How is Mitt going to be a viable candidate in 2012?

All his negatives from 2008 are still there....and by 2011, he will have been removed from any public office for 3 years.

He wasn't even really close in 2008, why would 2012 be any different?

I think Jeb Bush would be the best choice, frankly, but for W screwing that whole thing up.

Wasn't even really close in 2008? Did you even follow the primaries? Man, you are dense.

Why wouldn't he be a viable candidate in 2012? Being removed from public office for 3 years will probably help him.