Forum: Politics
11-08-2012, 11:31 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
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Forum: Politics
11-08-2012, 10:19 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
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Forum: Politics
11-07-2012, 12:06 AM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
True. A better way of wording it would have...
True. A better way of wording it would have been, of the polls that Silver currently uses, which have been active since 1988, they have been 96% accurate.
His final electoral projection as of...
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Forum: Politics
11-05-2012, 07:11 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
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Forum: Politics
11-05-2012, 06:53 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
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Forum: Politics
11-05-2012, 06:40 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
Nate Silver does tend to lean left. If we look...
Nate Silver does tend to lean left. If we look elsewhere, such as to Wall Street and Las Vegas where they use trading/gambling instead of polling, Obama is presently a 66.8% favorite on Intrade...
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Forum: Politics
10-29-2012, 02:52 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
UPDATE
One week left, and there was an...
UPDATE
One week left, and there was an upswing for Obama since last Monday. Presently his probability of winning is 74.6% (+7.0), with 297 electoral votes (+9).
A natural disaster is headed...
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Forum: Politics
10-22-2012, 06:03 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
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Forum: Politics
10-22-2012, 04:14 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
UPDATE
Two weeks left. Obama's probability...
UPDATE
Two weeks left. Obama's probability of winning is up 1.6 from a week ago to 67.6%. Although most say that he narrowly "won" the second debate, he not receive nearly the same bounce as...
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Forum: Politics
10-15-2012, 09:12 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
UPDATE
With 3 weeks left, Obama's...
UPDATE
With 3 weeks left, Obama's probability of winning has dropped to 66.0%, down from 78.4% last week. The current electoral forecast is 289 Obama, 249 Romney.
Also, of the 9 swing states...
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Forum: Politics
10-08-2012, 04:55 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
UPDATE
Now with only 4 weeks left, Obama's...
UPDATE
Now with only 4 weeks left, Obama's probability has dipped to 78.4%, from last Monday's 85.1%. The electoral forecast now sits at 308 to 230, down from 320 to 218.
Interestingly, last...
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Forum: Politics
10-04-2012, 03:40 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
LOL.
These two candidates certainly looked...
LOL.
These two candidates certainly looked like one has been through twenty debates over the past year, while it was the other's first in four years. Still, you would expect some preparation by...
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Forum: Politics
10-01-2012, 04:13 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
Update: now with five weeks to go, current...
Update: now with five weeks to go, current state-by-state poll numbers have Obama's likelihood of winning up to 85.1%. Electoral vote of 320 to 218.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
...
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Forum: Politics
09-27-2012, 12:45 AM
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Replies: 29
Views: 10,382
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