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Search: Posts Made By: ChinoCoug
Forum: Football 09-27-2016, 12:58 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
No need to obfuscate the signal by throwing TDs...

No need to obfuscate the signal by throwing TDs in there.

QBs who throw the most interceptions are good too.

http://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/stats/player-passing-interceptions-thrown/2015/
...
Forum: Football 09-26-2016, 10:35 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
Interception rate Year-to-Year correlation is...

Interception rate Year-to-Year correlation is only 24%. Weak.

http://www.4for4.com/fantasy-football/2016/preseason/what-are-most-predictable-year-year-stats-quarterbacks
Forum: Football 09-26-2016, 10:29 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
It's mostly luck. ERA is mostly luck +...

It's mostly luck.

ERA is mostly luck + fielding and people still use that worthless statistic.

Taysom's INT/ATT
2016 4.6%
2015 2.9%
2014 2.3%
2013 3.2%
2012 2.8%
Forum: Football 09-26-2016, 10:26 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
That's a read issue, not a playcall issue.

That's a read issue, not a playcall issue.
Forum: Football 09-26-2016, 02:52 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
Yesterday he averaged 6.9 per attempt, which is...

Yesterday he averaged 6.9 per attempt, which is stellar. Interceptions are mostly luck.
Forum: Football 09-26-2016, 02:32 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
Taysom hit 66% of his passes, and they finally...

Taysom hit 66% of his passes, and they finally scored a TD from the red zone. INTs were bad but that's mostly random. The only statistic you can predict INTs with is completion %, and that was fine...
Forum: Football 09-22-2016, 10:14 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
Omniscient Cougarguard.

Omniscient Cougarguard.
Forum: Football 09-22-2016, 09:33 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
Yes, but that was based on film none of us can...

Yes, but that was based on film none of us can see.
Forum: Football 09-22-2016, 08:26 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
What we've seen is a mushy compromise between...

What we've seen is a mushy compromise between what Ty is comfy with (pro-style) and what Taysom is comfy with (read option). I was delighted at the degree to which the shotgun was used (empirically,...
Forum: Football 09-22-2016, 06:58 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
They're going to switch to the hurry-up as Taysom...

They're going to switch to the hurry-up as Taysom is 3/3 on this.

Reminds me of my childhood days when the Bills found that using the no-huddle at the end of playoff games became so successful...
Forum: Football 09-22-2016, 05:52 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
How Time in Pocket is calculated and how it...

How Time in Pocket is calculated and how it translates into yards advanced:

http://chance.amstat.org/2011/11/the-blindside-project/
Forum: Football 09-22-2016, 02:01 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
We don't have the advanced data that isolates QB...

We don't have the advanced data that isolates QB performance from how much time the OL gives it, or whether receivers create separation. At least you and I don't.
Forum: Football 09-22-2016, 12:31 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 9,144
Posted By ChinoCoug
Detmer broke down film and saw that most of what...

Detmer broke down film and saw that most of what happened was not Hill's fault.

Football is not baseball; individual performance cannot be isolated just by following the person with the ball.
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