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Forum: Art/Movies/Media/Music/Books 11-13-2008, 08:36 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 15,634
Posted By pelagius
Ya, the kids are really impressed when I tell...

Ya, the kids are really impressed when I tell them: "See the referee kids, when I was 7 I used to cry if that man looked at me."
Forum: Art/Movies/Media/Music/Books 11-13-2008, 08:32 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 15,634
Posted By pelagius
Yes, he is in the montage. He is the ref sporting...

Yes, he is in the montage. He is the ref sporting the very cool stache. He was also martial arts choreographer.
Forum: Art/Movies/Media/Music/Books 11-13-2008, 08:17 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 15,634
Posted By pelagius
Ok, the main referee (Pat Johnson). Sometimes he...

Ok, the main referee (Pat Johnson). Sometimes he would be a "guest" Karate instructor (can't remember how many times it happened, but not more than a few) where my brothers and I took lessons. We...
Forum: Art/Movies/Media/Music/Books 11-13-2008, 08:01 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 15,634
Posted By pelagius
What about if you knew (or at least met before...

What about if you knew (or at least met before the movie) one of the minor characters?
Forum: Religious Studies 11-09-2008, 07:12 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 9,573
Posted By pelagius
More:

More:
Forum: Religious Studies 11-09-2008, 07:11 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 9,573
Posted By pelagius
Dan, I think the most authoritative source...

Dan,

I think the most authoritative source is "THE FATHER AND THE SON A Doctrinal Exposition" by The First Presidency and The Twelve. This first presidency statement was written in 1916 by mostly...
Forum: Football 11-07-2008, 06:06 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
I prefer tilt at Beyesian windmills ... the...

I prefer tilt at Beyesian windmills ... the expected benefit to society is much higher.
Forum: Football 11-05-2008, 02:56 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
I tried but ran into a problem given Lord Bayes'...

I tried but ran into a problem given Lord Bayes' general state of deadness. So you can put me down for a Massive Fail.
Forum: Football 11-05-2008, 02:54 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
I was practically screeming at the screen .......

I was practically screeming at the screen .... Switch to door #2! Switch to door #2!
Forum: Football 11-05-2008, 02:52 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
You mean, not good like one out of a hundred? ...

You mean, not good like one out of a hundred?
I'd say more like one out of a million.

At least an order of magnitude of better than either one of those.
Forum: Football 11-05-2008, 02:44 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
If I stick around I will let you have them for...

If I stick around I will let you have them for face value (they would be crappy seats though and this assumes faculty tickets are available next year at my senoirity level and I remember to put in a...
Forum: Football 11-05-2008, 02:41 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
Hey listen buddy ... I am on a listserve about...

Hey listen buddy ... I am on a listserve about this ... I roll my eyes when you go into your hipster mode.
Forum: Football 11-05-2008, 02:37 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
Is that that the rule that states that ex post...

Is that that the rule that states that ex post realizations of random variables render baseline probabilities irrelevant in terms of determing the true parameters of a distribution?
Forum: Football 11-05-2008, 02:08 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
Just a note, Bayes Rule should be used in some...

Just a note, Bayes Rule should be used in some legal applications (So yes there should be a class on Bayesian statistics in law school). For example, in criminal law regarding DNA testing. A DNA test...
Forum: Football 11-05-2008, 01:59 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
Bayes rule shows you how you should update what...

Bayes rule shows you how you should update what you believe based on new information under uncertainty. It shows you how to do it optimally. The cognitive physcology literature finds strongly in...
Forum: Football 11-05-2008, 12:42 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
You're right ... but I must continue my one...

You're right ... but I must continue my one person quest to correct cognitive biases in decision making under uncertainty. Its a underappreciated quest.
Forum: Football 11-05-2008, 12:39 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
Il Pad, not problem. I didn't see you make a...

Il Pad, not problem. I didn't see you make a statement like the Vegas consultant poll made no sense with regard to Texas and Texas Tech. However, if one is inclined to make such statements I am...
Forum: Football 11-05-2008, 12:30 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,732
Posted By pelagius
I weep for America

Really because of its education system. Doesn't anyone teach Bayes Rule? People, if you believed that Texas was a better team than Texas Tech before then played, it still may be perfectly rational...
Forum: Chit Chat 11-04-2008, 10:19 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 2,618
Posted By pelagius
That's why I am not commenting. I really don't...

That's why I am not commenting. I really don't have much of an idea beyond what one can easily gleen from news reports: central bank coordination? But it seems like that would be handled better at...
Forum: Chit Chat 11-04-2008, 09:14 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 2,618
Posted By pelagius
No comment ... Not because I don't want to...

No comment ... Not because I don't want to comment, but because I really have no comment.
Forum: Politics 11-04-2008, 08:59 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 3,006
Posted By pelagius
They must be more excited in Dayton ... my total...

They must be more excited in Dayton ... my total vote time was less than 5 minutes.* Of course that was at 4:00 pm.

*I voted today because I don't think my kids are ready for the Dad is an...
Forum: Football 11-03-2008, 05:49 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 1,012
Posted By pelagius
This should be talked about more with computer...

This should be talked about more with computer models. Statistical significance is never reported and by and large it isn't very good. This is particularly true for W/L models. For example, I ran a...
Forum: Fitness and Wellness 11-03-2008, 05:18 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 9,020
Posted By pelagius
I can't imagine you are nearly as disappointed as...

I can't imagine you are nearly as disappointed as me; for heaven's sake where is the power rack, Lebowski?

Seriously, that's a very nice setup.
Forum: Chit Chat 10-29-2008, 02:10 PM
Replies: 64
Views: 6,519
Posted By pelagius
That's it, I can't take it. I think I am going to...

That's it, I can't take it. I think I am going to have to move now.
Forum: Chit Chat 10-29-2008, 04:42 AM
Replies: 64
Views: 6,519
Posted By pelagius
That sounds right. Did the football HoF have that...

That sounds right. Did the football HoF have that weird rotating movie theatre thing back then?
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