cougarguard.com — unofficial BYU Cougars / LDS sports, football, basketball forum and message board - View Single Post - What The New Hampshire Primary really means:

Tex · 01-09-2008, 02:49 PM

What it really means is that some pollsters, pundits, and Cougarguard posters are unable to adjust to the "new" rules.

Reports are that the Obama campaign's internal polling showed him up by 14. Hillary's campaign's internals showed him up by 11. SU is in a corner somewhere muttering "Romney is dead after NH" to himself (cue the "Michigan last stand" posts), and McCain won, but not convincingly. Huckabee leads the national polls. (Yeah. Right.) Almost as many R's turned out as D's to vote, sticking a fork in the eye of those talking about GOP malaise.

The rules are different for the '08 race. Rewrite your models.

As for Romney's failed win-first strategy: the strategy appears to have failed. But as cheerleader Hewitt has pointed out, it was devised to defeat a front-running Guiliani, no longer front-running. In any other year, consecutive 2nds might have finished a candidate. But this race is still wide open.

Anybody who counts anybody else out, R or D, is fooling themselves. Well, ok. Count Ron Paul out.

01-09-2008, 02:49 PM	#2
Tex Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 8,596	What it really means is that some pollsters, pundits, and Cougarguard posters are unable to adjust to the "new" rules. Reports are that the Obama campaign's internal polling showed him up by 14. Hillary's campaign's internals showed him up by 11. SU is in a corner somewhere muttering "Romney is dead after NH" to himself (cue the "Michigan last stand" posts), and McCain won, but not convincingly. Huckabee leads the national polls. (Yeah. Right.) Almost as many R's turned out as D's to vote, sticking a fork in the eye of those talking about GOP malaise. The rules are different for the '08 race. Rewrite your models. As for Romney's failed win-first strategy: the strategy appears to have failed. But as cheerleader Hewitt has pointed out, it was devised to defeat a front-running Guiliani, no longer front-running. In any other year, consecutive 2nds might have finished a candidate. But this race is still wide open. Anybody who counts anybody else out, R or D, is fooling themselves. Well, ok. Count Ron Paul out. __________________ "Have we been commanded not to call a prophet an insular racist? Link?" "And yes, [2010] is a very good year to be a Democrat. Perhaps the best year in decades ..." - Cali Coug "Oh dear, granny, what a long tail our puss has got." - Brigham Young