Quote:
Originally Posted by jay santos
What is easier, getting to a BCS bowl game for a non-BCS or a BCS?
Isolating just on this question, and given your team at the beginning of the year with the only delta being the schedule difference and the BCS rules, I'd say it's probably about equal but maybe a little easier for a non-BCS.
Why?
If you are top 12 in the BCS rankings as a non-BCS, you are virtually guaranteed to make it (though you might not if there is a higher ranked non-BCS. If you are 13-16, you have a small chance.
If you are top 12 in the BCS rankings, you are not guaranteed a BCS bowl, though it is likely.
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Doesn't that beg the question? Sure the non-BCS team is guaranteed a bid in the top twelve, and the BCS team isn't. But is the non-BCS team as likely as the BCS team to make it to the top 12 to begin with?