Quote:
Originally Posted by Archaea
Please, please, no BCS this year, it would make the Hawaii embarrassment look competitive.
Utah will take care of us in all likelihood.
But if Utah defeats TCU and BYU defeats Utah with no other losses for any school, who will be highest and who goes?
My uneducated guess would be that BYU having defeated a highly ranked team, or TCU would go, but TCU might fall below BYU if it loses to Utah, and Utah would likely fall below BYU.
Yet Boise still must lose and I don't see that as likely.
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The most likely scenario for BYU in the BCS (in fact, probably the only realistic scenario) would be for Utah to beat TCU, BYU to beat Utah, and BSU to lose to anyone (they have Nevada and FSU left).
Not terrible odds, but not nearly as good as a team who controls their own destiny, like Utah and TCU (BSU needs help, as Utah or TCU would get in ahead of them if either of those teams win out).
The MWC tiebreaker works as follows:
1. Compare head to head results (wouldn't work if Utah beats TCU, BYU beats Utah, and TCU beat BYU).
2. Compare records against other league teams, from top to bottom (wouldn't work- their only losses would be to each other).
3. Compare results against other tied teams (I think this is a MOV issue, but it isn't really clear)
4. Coin flip (which would be absolutely nuts- how would it even work with a 3 team scenario?).
BYU could get into the BCS as the 2nd non-BCS team this year too. The Big 10, Big 12 and SEC will all likely get 2 teams in each (that is the maximum a conference can have). Unless Oregon State wins out (in which case, they are the Pac 10 champ, but not eligible for a BCS game because they aren't in the top 16), USC will go, and will likely go anyways as an at large (so I think the best the Pac 10 can get is 1). The ACC may not have a qualifying team, same with the Big East. If that is the case, 2 non-BCS teams could get in.
This could turn into a crazy year for college football.