There is ZERO chance polygamy will be legalized. If that is an impetus for the LDS church's opposition to gay marriage it's just being stupid. There are many distinctions between gay marriage and polygamy, the most obvious of which is that gays don't choose to be gay.
Regardless, the most common sense reason no court or legislature will either enact a law legalizing polygamy or hold it to be a Constitutional right is politics. There is no constituency. ZERO constituency. Who wants it? Only a bunch of really unfortunate, isolated little groups of people. (Yes, judges appointed for life are very sensitive to political currents; that should be clear.)
The LDS Church doesn't like gay people. The idealization of marriage per centuries old standards is a core concept of Mormon CULTure. That's why it opposes gay marriage, to put the Mormon position in the most charitable terms possible.
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Interrupt all you like. We're involved in a complicated story here, and not everything is quite what it seems to be.
—Paul Auster
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