Quote:
Originally Posted by Cali Coug
In other words, you made the number up, and now you are saying I can "tweak the upper bounds of the estimate" (which is purely your estimate based on nothing more than a guess).
Fine work, Mr. Actuary.
By the way, assuming your own estimate of 400,000 is correct, that would be one black for every 32 members, not 35 (so even your "mathematical example" was flawed based on your made up figures).
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Well, if you weren't a mathematical ignoramous, you'd realize I was using very rounded numbers to make a point. That point is not dependent on precise accurate numbers but ballpark numbers.
Why don't you enlist the help of someone that understands math and do some statistical hypothesis testing (try boardmailing Pelagius).
If you think my ballpark numbers so far off, feel free to provide some data to prove otherwise. If you think even a relatively large change in those ratios matters that much, feel free to statistically demonstrate that fact.
In the absence of that, your lazy-ass criticisms ring completely hollow.