Quote:
Originally Posted by ute4ever
Well if they do get a 5, would it be fair for the homers to whine that it should have been a 4 or a 6, because there are always so many 5/12 upsets and thus the selection committee intentionally set them up against the toughest double-digit seed in the tournament?
I'd like to see an actuary prepare an article supporting the theory. I bet Dick Harmon would publish it.
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Don't be stupid. The problem is that BYU has averaged 4 seeds lower than their RPI would indicate over their last 4 appearances, including a record 7 seed drop in 2002-2003. Furthermore, the 5 vs 12 upset rate is completely overstated. 5 seeds win 71% of the time, which is more often than 6 seeds (69%) and less often than 4 seeds (79%), which you would naturally expect.
http://mcubed.net/ncaab/seeds.shtml