Ineteresting Bowl Matchup Projections for MWC

[DJRoss]

ESPN

Vegas: BYU vs Louisville
Armed Forces: Air Force vs Iowa
New Mexico: Utah vs Nevada
Ponsietta: New Mexico vs Navy

CBS

Vegas: BYU vs Michigan State
Armed Forces: South Carolina vs Air Force
New Mexico: Utah vs Fresno State
Ponsietta: New Mexico vs Navy

SI

Vegas: BYU vs Oregon State
Armed Forces: Air Force vs. Iowa
New Mexico: Utah vs Nevada
Ponsietta: New Mexico vs Navy

Fox

Vegas: BYU vs Oregon State
Armed Forces: TCU vs Mississippi State
New Mexico: Air Force vs Nevada
Ponsietta: Utah vs Navy

Scout

Vegas: BYU vs Oregon State
Armed Forces: TCU vs Arkansas
New Mexico: Air Force vs Nevada
Ponsietta: Utah vs Navy

Rivals

Vegas: BYU vs Oregon State
Armed Forces: TCU vs Nevada
New Mexico: New Mexico vs Fresno State
Ponsietta: Utah vs Navy

[DJRoss]

needed to fill 64 slots. Teams on the borderline for the 14 remaining slots are:

ACC (1 spot)

NCST
Maryland
Miami

NCST and Maryland have to play each other, so one of these teams will secure one of the 13 remaining slots.

Miami has BC and VTech to finish their schedule, so the likelihood of them going bowling is slim.

Big East (1 spot)

Pitt
Louisville

Pitt has to win two of its three final games. They are on the road at Rutgers and West Virginia and have South Florida at home. Not likely to get their six wins.

Louisville has to travel to South Florida and play Rutgers at home. They need one win, and could pull off a victory over one of their remaining opponents.


Big XII (3 spots)

Kansas State
Colorado
Nebraska
Oklahoma State

KSU has to play Missouri and will most likely lose, but they do have Fresno State on the road and that would get them qualified.

Colorado and Nebraska meet each other, and the winner goes bowling the loser stays home.

Oklahoma State has Baylor and Oklahoma. They should beat Baylor

CUSA (2 spots)

Memphis
Southern Miss
UTEP

Memphis should go bowling with remaining games against UAB and SMU

Southern Miss Should as well with UTEP and Arkansas State left to play.

UTEP needs to beat Southern Miss and UCF to have a chance.

MAC (2 spots)

Miami
Buffalo
Akron
Ohio
Ball State
Toledo


Miami by beating the remaining two teams on their schedule keeps them home. They are Akron and Ohio

Buffalo needs to beat Bowling Green or else they stay home. Kent State should be a walk in the park to close the deal.

If Akron upsets Miami, Central Michigan is waiting in the wings to dash their hopes.

Ball State getting in boils down to splitting between Toledo and Northern Illinois which they should.

Toledo getting in boils down to splitting with Ball State and Bowling Green. That is a tougher assignment.

MWC(1 spot)

Wyoming
SDSU
TCU

The Cowboys are free falling, and will need to win the border war with CSU to go have a chance to go bowling. Two weeks ago I would have said it was guaranteed, but not anymore.

SDSU has to play TCU, Air Force and BYU. Not a recommended way to finish the season if you are planning on going bowling and need two out of three to get there.

TCU looks the most likely to get it done having dates with UNLV and SDSU.

PAC 10 (0 Spots)

UCLA is an enigma. They finish by playing Oregon and USC. There is a real possibility they could upset one of these teams, and of course if they play as expected, they will not go bowling

Washington

Arizona needs two wins to make it, and it will probably not happen having Oregon and ASU left to play.

Washington State has the best chance of making it even though they need to win out. They play Oregon State and Washington.

SEC (1 spot)

Vanderbilt needs to beat both Tennessee and Wake Forest. They have a chance.

Sunbelt (1 spot)

FL Atlantic
Middle Tenn
La Monroe
Arkansas St

FL Atlantic has to win one more game. They will most likely qualify by beating Fl International. Florida and Troy are a bit too tough.

Middle Tenn has to beat Troy to go. Not going to happen

La Monroe has to win both its final games. One of them is at Alabama. Not going to happen

Arkansas St has to win both their final games. North Texas is doable, but Southern Miss is not.

WAC (1 spot)

Nevada
La Tech
San Jose State

Nevada has to win at least one more game. They play Hawaii, La Tech and San Jose State. The will most likely win at least one. The liklihood of losing to both La Tech and SJS is not high which means they will be ending one of not both of their chances.

La Tech has to play SJS which means one of them will stay home. Along with Nevada playing both teams, the winner of this game needs to get by Nevada or they are also staying home.

That leaves one spot left. If this happens, one bowl committee will be forced to take a team with a losing record or opt to not have the bowl which is most unlikely. If we get lucky and there are 3 or 4 spots empty due to not enough teams at .500 it could put pressure on moving to a playoff.

Now the NCAA could wilt and allow Western Kentucky to be bowl eligible even though they are not being a new member, but if 2 or more spots are empty it won't matter. The scary thing would be if they decide to invite a couple of Div IAA teams to fill those spots vs. sending a team with a losing record. That would make a huge mess (hmmm maybe we should be hoping this happens)