07-21-2008, 09:10 PM | #41 | |
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07-21-2008, 09:13 PM | #42 |
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The problem I have with people that would follow the model of Pelagius is that when the prophet is wrong on weighty matters (racism and polygamy/polyandry and IMHO prop 8) they just go along with the incorrect position and perpetuate the problem all because the prophet is correct most of the time.
It really matters what the prophet is wrong about. For example, racism in the church does much more harm than prohibiting visual aides. Yet according to the model it is rational and appropriate to just go along with both. This is where the model fails. |
07-21-2008, 09:16 PM | #43 | |
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My response would be that I think most conservatives would agree that one can find examples of bad decisions from an ex post perspective but that it is much more difficult from an ex ante perspective particularly when we limit the scope of the model to cases where the 1st presidency and the quorum of the twelve agree. So an unconditional decision rule may still be optimal. Last edited by pelagius; 07-21-2008 at 09:43 PM. |
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07-21-2008, 09:18 PM | #44 |
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That's great, just great, now you've boiled down the LDS church and it's followers into some numbers probabilities forumla.
Sorry you don't enjoy the banter, carry on with the numbers and classifying of the members. Carry on......... |
07-21-2008, 09:24 PM | #45 |
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Is the word of wisdom one of those where the prophet got it wrong?
Surely the WOW is something that could not possibly have been inspired for the people in this time, after all who wouldn't enjoy a nice Sam Adams after a hot day in the sun, or a nice hot Starbucks Mocha on a chilly morning? |
07-21-2008, 09:26 PM | #46 |
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Thanks for a more civil response ... I honestly think you are being a bit unfair to my post. Despite its use of numbers (which I understand some people find off-putting and I can understand that, people often find economists off putting even when we are not trying to be) it is actually an apologetic for faithfully following the prophet within the context that the prophet has a spiritual advantage relative to me but also recognizing that he is human and not perfect (it not a rationale for following the prophet when you don't really believe).
Last edited by pelagius; 07-21-2008 at 09:30 PM. |
07-21-2008, 09:26 PM | #47 | |
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Seriously, was the Word of Wisdom not applying to alcoholic "Danish Beer" one of the ones the prophet got right or wrong? |
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07-21-2008, 09:27 PM | #48 | |
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07-21-2008, 09:27 PM | #49 | |
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Last edited by pelagius; 07-21-2008 at 09:34 PM. |
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07-21-2008, 09:29 PM | #50 | |
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