I weep for America

[pelagius]

Originally Posted by TripletDaddy

So your telling me there's a chance.....

You mean, not good like one out of a hundred?
I'd say more like one out of a million.

At least an order of magnitude of better than either one of those.

[TripletDaddy]

Let's nip this POO/YOhio debate in the bud.

Please answer the following:

1. Are you on a list that monitors such activity? You don't need to provide any information about the list. Any list will do. The important thing is that you be on a list.
2. Have you read at least one book on the topic?
3. Have you corresponded with the author?
4. Have you discussed Bayes Theory for at least one decade?

If you can answer Yes to all 4 of these, then you are a certified expert. If not, then you are so in each other's wheelhouse.

[pelagius]

Originally Posted by YOhio

You wanna go there? Bring it. I've been discussing probability at least every other day, or 50%, or my life. Watch this video and then maybe I'll think you're qualified to discuss this with me:

I was practically screeming at the screen .... Switch to door #2! Switch to door #2!

[pelagius]

Originally Posted by TripletDaddy

3. Have you corresponded with the author?

I tried but ran into a problem given Lord Bayes' general state of deadness. So you can put me down for a Massive Fail.

[YOhio]

Originally Posted by pelagius

I tried but ran into a problem given Lord Bayes' general state of deadness. So you can put me down for a Massive Fail.

That's where I'm fortunate. I attend a weekly seance with some Antioch students in Yellow Springs and a few months ago we channeled ole' T. Bayes.

[il Padrino Ute]

Originally Posted by Mormon Red Death

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unfrozen_Caveman_Lawyer

Et Tu Il Padrino?

I have never been able to understand how a ball hit high into the sky will inevitably return to the ground. Maybe the sky doesn't want the ball. I don't know. That's how I think.

[il Padrino Ute]

Originally Posted by TripletDaddy

Let's nip this POO/YOhio debate in the bud.

Please answer the following:

1. Are you on a list that monitors such activity? You don't need to provide any information about the list. Any list will do. The important thing is that you be on a list.
2. Have you read at least one book on the topic?
3. Have you corresponded with the author?
4. Have you discussed Bayes Theory for at least one decade?
5. Has Lord Bayes been in your house for dinner?

If you can answer Yes to all 4 of these, then you are a certified expert. If not, then you are so in each other's wheelhouse.

You left out the most important question, so I asked it for you.

[BYUsportsguy]

For some reason I thought this thread was going to be about obama's victory in the election...

[pelagius]

Originally Posted by BYUsportsguy

For some reason I thought this thread was going to be about obama's victory in the election...

I prefer tilt at Beyesian windmills ... the expected benefit to society is much higher.