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Old 01-21-2008, 04:32 PM   #1
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Default Latest Rasmussen has Romney up five in Florida

Interesting that the poll was done yesterday while the press was peeing all over itself over McCain.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...imary-260.html
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Old 01-21-2008, 04:35 PM   #2
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Is it possible that Giuliani detracts from McCain?

I dunno. Strange but I'm not predicting anything. If McCain wins Florida, then I believe he's the Rep nominee.
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Old 01-21-2008, 05:02 PM   #3
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It seems that every TV news report, internet article, or newspaper article I read over the weekend spoke only of McCain vs. Huckabee. And how McCain is now the clear frontrunner.
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Old 01-21-2008, 05:04 PM   #4
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Originally Posted by Jeff Lebowski View Post
It seems that every TV news report, internet article, or newspaper article I read over the weekend spoke only of McCain vs. Huckabee. And how McCain is now the clear frontrunner.
I have seen the same, almost as if Romney is yesterday's news. What concerns me is that Romney might not have much appeal in the South.

It might be McCain's by default. I wonder if it bothers Mike that the Reps will have an anti torture candidate that he can't rail against.
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Old 01-21-2008, 05:08 PM   #5
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The betting market isn't ignoring the information. McCain is still ahead but it is close. Romney is trading $23 higher since the open today and McCain is down $17.
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Old 01-21-2008, 05:40 PM   #6
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I think McCain has hit his highwater mark. He hasn't been that popular among Republicans, appealing more to independents that opt to vote in the primaries. His numbers among Republicans are horrible. He actually garnered less of the vote in S. Carolina this time than in 2000. 67% of the voters preferred other options. Florida does not allow independents to vote in the primary, like a lot of other primaries from here on out. He faces the same problems Huckabee faces; limited appeal and money.
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Old 01-21-2008, 05:46 PM   #7
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Additionally, current angst about the economy plays right into Romney's hands.
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Old 01-21-2008, 06:01 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jeff Lebowski View Post
It seems that every TV news report, internet article, or newspaper article I read over the weekend spoke only of McCain vs. Huckabee. And how McCain is now the clear frontrunner.
It's the damn liberal mainstream press that would love to see McCain as the GOP nominee. Then they could crucify him as too old and too out of step. They would pound him over his amnesty for illegals and his predilection to maintain the status quo with regard to federalism.

That way, the real vote for change would be the Democrat candidate, whoever it might end up being. They are promoting him today, to villify him in the fall.
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Old 01-21-2008, 07:30 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jeff Lebowski View Post
It seems that every TV news report, internet article, or newspaper article I read over the weekend spoke only of McCain vs. Huckabee. And how McCain is now the clear frontrunner.
From Dem pundit Matthew Yglesias...

Quote:
This morning, Mitt Romney had more delegates than John McCain. Following today's primaries, Romney's lead has grown even larger because Nevada has more delegates than South Carolina and Romney won a larger proportion of the vote in NV than McCain got in South Carolina. Naturally, the press is declaring this a big win for McCain. I just saw Howard Fineman explain that "there is no longer any strong candidate in the race" to oppose McCain. Nobody but the guy who's leading, that is.

I feel Hugh Hewitt's pain.
http://matthewyglesias.theatlantic.c...mall_point.php
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Old 01-21-2008, 08:37 PM   #10
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Is it possible that Giuliani detracts from McCain?

I dunno. Strange but I'm not predicting anything. If McCain wins Florida, then I believe he's the Rep nominee.
I have said all along that Giuliani and McCain occupy the same space, much as Thompson and Romney do.

McCain won't be the nominee for the Republican party. I think his bubble is about to burst. I do find it odd that Romney is getting so little attention right now, when to me, he is the clear front-runner (especially now that Thompson is almost certain to get out). Romney, I believe, leads the delegate count right now and looks very good to win Florida.
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