The AP calls Nevada for Romney. - cougarguard.com — unofficial BYU Cougars / LDS sports, football, basketball forum and message board

Cali Coug · 01-19-2008, 05:10 PM

I am not at all surprised Romney won there (it would have been a big upset for him to lose, I think), but I am very surprised the AP already called it. I know it is a caucus state, but are they already finished caucusing? I would have guessed that would take place later on tonight.

Arch? How does it work down there?

This solidifies my view that Romney is the candidate to beat. He should have the most delegates of all Republicans by Super Tuesday. Nevada has more than SC, and he will, I think, place 3rd in SC taking a good percentage of those delegates too. He is highly competitive in Florida (which is now a must win for Rudy- though I think he will place 2nd).

myboynoah · 01-19-2008, 05:47 PM

I tend to agree, but the networks seems to be covering only two races today, the Dems in Nevada and the Repubs in South Carolina. Nevada for the Repubs is 34 delegates, S Carolina is 24, but they can't keep from talking about how important S Carolina is.

Florida is the key and the latest poll showed a virtual three-way tie between Romney, McCain, and Rudy. If McCain loses again today, he will really be hurting.

I wonder if Romney might not be bounced back to 4th in S. Carolina, a setback given how much coverage the state is getting.

All-American · 01-19-2008, 05:53 PM

Check out this exit poll. 94% of mormons voted for Romney.

DJRoss · 01-19-2008, 06:52 PM

it is a split winner take all state, which means each district winner gets that delegate and than the state leader would get the bonus delegates. So Romney might pull at most 2 delegates out of South Carolina today unless some crazy event keeps the Huckabee, McCain voters from showing up.

The irony is that even if McCain or Huckabee win South Carolina they might at most pull out 9 or 10 delegates given how tight the race is. Romney is currently at 50% of Nevada which means no less than 17 Delegates.

SteelBlue · 01-19-2008, 07:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJRoss

unless some crazy event keeps the Huckabee, McCain voters from showing up.

Well, there are 4 inches of snow expected in SC today. That could make things interesting.

01-19-2008, 05:10 PM	#1
Cali Coug Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 5,996	The AP calls Nevada for Romney. I am not at all surprised Romney won there (it would have been a big upset for him to lose, I think), but I am very surprised the AP already called it. I know it is a caucus state, but are they already finished caucusing? I would have guessed that would take place later on tonight. Arch? How does it work down there? This solidifies my view that Romney is the candidate to beat. He should have the most delegates of all Republicans by Super Tuesday. Nevada has more than SC, and he will, I think, place 3rd in SC taking a good percentage of those delegates too. He is highly competitive in Florida (which is now a must win for Rudy- though I think he will place 2nd).

01-19-2008, 05:47 PM	#2
myboynoah Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Memphis freakin' Tennessee!!!!! Posts: 4,530	I tend to agree, but the networks seems to be covering only two races today, the Dems in Nevada and the Repubs in South Carolina. Nevada for the Repubs is 34 delegates, S Carolina is 24, but they can't keep from talking about how important S Carolina is. Florida is the key and the latest poll showed a virtual three-way tie between Romney, McCain, and Rudy. If McCain loses again today, he will really be hurting. I wonder if Romney might not be bounced back to 4th in S. Carolina, a setback given how much coverage the state is getting. __________________ Give 'em Hell, Cougars!!! Religion rises inevitably from our apprehension of our own death. To give meaning to meaninglessness is the endless quest of all religion. When death becomes the center of our consciousness, then religion authentically begins. Of all religions that I know, the one that most vehemently and persuasively defies and denies the reality of death is the original Mormonism of the Prophet, Seer and Revelator, Joseph Smith. Last edited by myboynoah; 01-19-2008 at 08:54 PM.

01-19-2008, 05:53 PM	#3
All-American Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 3,420	Check out this exit poll. 94% of mormons voted for Romney. __________________ εν αρχη ην ο λογος

01-19-2008, 06:52 PM	#4
DJRoss Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 340	Romney could leave South Carolina with 0 delegates... it is a split winner take all state, which means each district winner gets that delegate and than the state leader would get the bonus delegates. So Romney might pull at most 2 delegates out of South Carolina today unless some crazy event keeps the Huckabee, McCain voters from showing up. The irony is that even if McCain or Huckabee win South Carolina they might at most pull out 9 or 10 delegates given how tight the race is. Romney is currently at 50% of Nevada which means no less than 17 Delegates. __________________ Click on image for my card and blog