Question for the ladies.

[RC Vikings]

Originally Posted by marsupial

With this being Heath Ledger's last movie, I bet it will be a big opening.

Is he retiring?

[TripletDaddy]

Originally Posted by RC Vikings

Is he retiring?

Joker.

[pelagius]

Originally Posted by TripletDaddy

Totally. I would say more like $130-140M.

You guys realize you can wager real money on box office openings. I think the market is pretty thin in general but you can actually "put down and win real cash money" on such things. The initial lines seem to indicate that the expected opening is greater than 120 but less than 130.

[TripletDaddy]

Originally Posted by pelagius

You guys realize you can wager real money on box office openings. I think the market is pretty thin in general but you can actually "put down and win real cash money" on such things. The initial lines seems to indicate that the expected opening is greater than 120 but less than 130.

I was reading about $130. Sounds like most of the pundits are alligned.

The opening will be slightly skewed because they are counting the midnight showings as Friday (not Thursday, even though technically it is not thurs), so the Fri numbers will be massive...which seems to be the trend.

[jay santos]

Originally Posted by pelagius

You guys realize you can wager real money on box office openings. I think the market is pretty thin in general but you can actually "put down and win real cash money" on such things. The initial lines seems to indicate that the expected opening is greater than 120 but less than 130.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/

This site has the top five at

1. Spiderman 3 2007, 151
2. Pirates 2 2006, 136
3. Shrek 3 2007, 122
4. Spiderman 2002, 115
5. Pirates 3 2007, 115

also
10. Indiana Jones 2008, 100
11. Iron Man 2008, 99

Economy's down but you have two movies up there high in 2008 already. Batman's going to beat them handily.

I'm going to go with 130.

[Runner Coug]

Originally Posted by RedHeadGal

Actually, the gays would probably rather see Batman, too. How tight is the outfit this time?

I watched "Philadelphia" on LOGO last night, it was the first time I've ever watched that network. I would have to say 90% of the commercials were for "Mama Mia" and male enhancement products.

[TripletDaddy]

Originally Posted by jay santos

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/

This site has the top five at

1. Spiderman 3 2007, 151
2. Pirates 2 2006, 136
3. Shrek 3 2007, 122
4. Spiderman 2002, 115
5. Pirates 3 2007, 115

also
10. Indiana Jones 2008, 100
11. Iron Man 2008, 99

Economy's down but you have two movies up there high in 2008 already. Batman's going to beat them handily.

I'm going to go with 130.

It is interesting that almost all of the Top 10 had Thursday night Midnight showings to cram in an extra night. You can only count 3 days gross to be eligible for the "opening weekend" list.

[UtahDan]

Originally Posted by jay santos

I think I would take the over on the $110M Batman opening.

I have, but keep in mind that this is an almost unheard of number. We are now entering Spiderman/Shrek territory. I do think it could break the record though.

[Archaea]

Originally Posted by RedHeadGal

I don't hate ABBA, and I haven't seen the play. You'd have to explain to me how you feel insulted by my comment for me to understand how to take it easy. You must be part of the "core fanbase." Fine. Enjoy.

The play is adequate, but ABBA is not Led Zepplin.

Why can't they do a Led Zepplin play?

[UtahDan]

Originally Posted by TripletDaddy

It is interesting that almost all of the Top 10 had Thursday night Midnight showings to cram in an extra night. You can only count 3 days gross to be eligible for the "opening weekend" list.

Batman is also going to benefit substantially from all the IMAX theatres it is opening in. To Pelagius' re: it doing well in spite of the economy, movies are often immune from economic hardships that hit other industries. In fact, in some cases the worse things are the more likely the public will be to escape to the movies.

I will say that I don't think that it will top Spidey 3, partly because none of those top five opened against another movie. They were the only thing going that weekend. That said, I am becoming more convinced that those who are predicting Mama Mia to do $25M this weekend are off a good 7-10M. I think that Batman will suck all the air out of it.