Why does everyone have Curtis' predicted yards so low? - cougarguard.com — unofficial BYU Cougars / LDS sports, football, basketball forum and message board

nuclearunderpants · 08-24-2006, 08:49 PM

I put him at 95, which I was being really optimistic about.

My reasons for thinking he won't break 100 yard rushing even though Arizona had a weak rushing defense last year:

1. Curtis' performance against ND last year showed he doesn't do as well agains big, fast defenses. He had 12 carries for 23 yards.
2. Anae's system of using short passes out of the backfield as rushes. Curtis will get most of his yards on receptions.
3. I think we're going to use a good rotation of backs.

The UA game will go alot like ND for Curtis. He will be somewhat ineffective rushing and get most of his yards on receptions. We will go to our bigger backs, Fui and Manase, to run the ball.

I hope that Curtis breaks the career rushing record this year, but am worried he won't get the carries to do it.

nup

Indy Coug · 08-25-2006, 03:30 PM

Because BYU's OL can't deal with faster defenses like ND, BC, and Cal. CB's average yards per carry against those teams were abysmal, but I think it was more a function of the OL being beat than CB not being fast enough.

Sleeping in EQ · 08-25-2006, 03:56 PM

AZ's defense is not stellar against the run, but I don't think we can run all over them either. I had Curtis in the 80s because I think we will run him quite a bit, but not for a lot of yard's per carry. I expect we'll mix up the carries and Curtis will catch some passes.

nuclearunderpants · 08-25-2006, 04:10 PM

Do you think we'll have a healthy mix of backs or will Anae give Curtis a majority of the carries?

TheSizzle36 · 08-25-2006, 04:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nuclearunderpants

Do you think we'll have a healthy mix of backs or will Anae give Curtis a majority of the carries?

I would expect CB to get the majority of the carries, but I would also expect Tonga and Fui to get a few touches as well.

RockyBalboa · 08-25-2006, 04:20 PM

For a few reasons. I think AZ with their overall team speed on defense will make it difficult to Curtis to get many yards.

2nd I think that with all of the options at running back, that while Curtis will get the bulk of the carries, I still expect Vakapuna, Tonga and even Unga once in a while to get some shots.

3rd..I know most think BYU's offensive line will crush AZ's front 7,,,and they very well may, but I think BYU will struggle run the ball in this game and will force Beck to throw more than normal, especially to the Tight Ends.

nuclearunderpants · 08-25-2006, 04:32 PM

I think we have to run effectively to win this game. I expect the single back sets to not be very effective. We'll see quite a few short passes to Curtis out of the backfield, but Arizona will quickly shut that down.

To win we have to be effective running in our two back set. We must make AZ suck people into the box to defend the run. I don't think dink and dunk will work well with their team speed. We must use our power.

BTW---I love the Tonga-Vakapuna two back sets they've ran in scrimmages. Either guy can play the fullback. It creates uncertainty and gives us a good power punch.

livecoug · 08-25-2006, 05:20 PM

my reason: Fui Vakapuna

08-24-2006, 08:49 PM	#1
nuclearunderpants Junior Member Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 19	Why does everyone have Curtis' predicted yards so low? I put him at 95, which I was being really optimistic about. My reasons for thinking he won't break 100 yard rushing even though Arizona had a weak rushing defense last year: 1. Curtis' performance against ND last year showed he doesn't do as well agains big, fast defenses. He had 12 carries for 23 yards. 2. Anae's system of using short passes out of the backfield as rushes. Curtis will get most of his yards on receptions. 3. I think we're going to use a good rotation of backs. The UA game will go alot like ND for Curtis. He will be somewhat ineffective rushing and get most of his yards on receptions. We will go to our bigger backs, Fui and Manase, to run the ball. I hope that Curtis breaks the career rushing record this year, but am worried he won't get the carries to do it. nup

08-25-2006, 03:56 PM	#3
Sleeping in EQ Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: The People's Republic of Monsanto Posts: 3,085	AZ's defense is not stellar against the run, but I don't think we can run all over them either. I had Curtis in the 80s because I think we will run him quite a bit, but not for a lot of yard's per carry. I expect we'll mix up the carries and Curtis will catch some passes. __________________ "Do not despise the words of prophets, but test everything; hold fast to what is good; " 1 Thess. 5:21 (NRSV) We all trust our own unorthodoxies.

08-25-2006, 04:20 PM	#6
RockyBalboa Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Salt Lake City Posts: 7,297	For a few reasons. I think AZ with their overall team speed on defense will make it difficult to Curtis to get many yards. 2nd I think that with all of the options at running back, that while Curtis will get the bulk of the carries, I still expect Vakapuna, Tonga and even Unga once in a while to get some shots. 3rd..I know most think BYU's offensive line will crush AZ's front 7,,,and they very well may, but I think BYU will struggle run the ball in this game and will force Beck to throw more than normal, especially to the Tight Ends. __________________ Masquerading as Cougarguards very own genius dumbass since 05'.

08-25-2006, 03:30 PM	#2
Indy Coug Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Between Iraq and a hard place Posts: 7,569	Because BYU's OL can't deal with faster defenses like ND, BC, and Cal. CB's average yards per carry against those teams were abysmal, but I think it was more a function of the OL being beat than CB not being fast enough.

08-25-2006, 04:10 PM	#4
nuclearunderpants Junior Member Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 19	Do you think we'll have a healthy mix of backs or will Anae give Curtis a majority of the carries?

08-25-2006, 04:32 PM	#7
nuclearunderpants Junior Member Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 19	I think we have to run effectively to win this game. I expect the single back sets to not be very effective. We'll see quite a few short passes to Curtis out of the backfield, but Arizona will quickly shut that down. To win we have to be effective running in our two back set. We must make AZ suck people into the box to defend the run. I don't think dink and dunk will work well with their team speed. We must use our power. BTW---I love the Tonga-Vakapuna two back sets they've ran in scrimmages. Either guy can play the fullback. It creates uncertainty and gives us a good power punch.

08-25-2006, 05:20 PM	#8
livecoug Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 1,176	my reason: Fui Vakapuna