What are the odds on the bastards getting - cougarguard.com — unofficial BYU Cougars / LDS sports, football, basketball forum and message board

Archaea · 11-03-2008, 04:21 PM

60 Senate seats?

BarbaraGordon · 11-03-2008, 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Archaea

What are the odds on the bastards getting 60 seats?

But Obama's not running for Senate.

Archaea · 11-03-2008, 04:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BarbaraGordon

But Obama's not running for Senate.

But Illinois has a Democratic Governor, n'est-ce pas?

BarbaraGordon · 11-03-2008, 04:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Archaea

But Illinois has a Democratic Governor, n'est-ce pas?

nevermind. I was answering your question regarding illegitimate children running for office.

BYU71 · 11-03-2008, 04:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Archaea

60 Senate seats?

What is interesting is how naive people who run for Congress and the people who elect them are.

I see where the Wyoming guy running for Congress says he is running to represent the people and not the repubs or dems. I would bet a lot of dems running are running as anti republs not really as pro dems.

When they get back there though they will find out how the real world operates. You either cower to the party leaders or you don't survive.

Look at that poor republican from Az, Flake I think his name is. The leadership of the repubs have really treated him poorly. He wasn't for waste and pork the repubs got into a habit of handing out.

Archaea · 11-03-2008, 04:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BarbaraGordon

nevermind. I was answering your question regarding illegitimate children running for office.

You were at that and it was funny, sorry to ruin your joke.

BlueK · 11-03-2008, 05:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BYU71

Look at that poor republican from Az, Flake I think his name is. The leadership of the repubs have really treated him poorly. He wasn't for waste and pork the repubs got into a habit of handing out.

Flake is a libertarian. That's why the current neocon leadership in the GOP has treated him poorly. And that's why the GOP will lose. They've chased out a significant base of their party just to appease the social conservatives and pro-war crowd.

Grigor · 11-03-2008, 06:00 PM

From FiveThirtyEight.com:

So... about 23%. My guess is that the Democrats will end up with 57 seats.

Tex · 11-03-2008, 06:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Grigor

From FiveThirtyEight.com:

So... about 23%. My guess is that the Democrats will end up with 57 seats.

I think Hagan and Sheehan are more likely to win than not, but I don't think that likelihood is 78 and 98%.

Grigor · 11-03-2008, 06:22 PM

They aren't my numbers, but I posted them here because it's a good regression model based on polls. You can read more about the methodology behind these numbers here.

EDIT: Oh, and here's the most recent senate polls if you're interested.

11-03-2008, 04:21 PM	#1
Archaea Assistant to the Regional Manager Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: The Orgasmatron Posts: 24,338	What are the odds on the bastards getting 60 Senate seats? __________________ Ἓν οἶδα ὅτι οὐδὲν οἶδα

11-03-2008, 06:00 PM	#8
Grigor Junior Member Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 29	From FiveThirtyEight.com: So... about 23%. My guess is that the Democrats will end up with 57 seats. Last edited by Grigor; 11-03-2008 at 06:05 PM.

11-03-2008, 06:22 PM	#10
Grigor Junior Member Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 29	They aren't my numbers, but I posted them here because it's a good regression model based on polls. You can read more about the methodology behind these numbers here. EDIT: Oh, and here's the most recent senate polls if you're interested. Last edited by Grigor; 11-03-2008 at 06:27 PM.