Predictions for TCU - cougarguard.com — unofficial BYU Cougars / LDS sports, football, basketball forum and message board

Archaea · 09-27-2006, 04:32 PM

Although my homer tendencies will make me want to pick BYU, my head says TCU "at the wire."

OTH, TCU isn't wonderful so I wouldn't be surprised for BYU to finally win an important game, in Beck's last chance. If BYU wins, it will be the result of NOT having to ride Beck in to the win.

24- 17 TCU.

Goatnapper'96 · 09-27-2006, 04:51 PM

to lose every possible big game. Sometime the simple fact that he is a pretty good college qb should allow him to win one.

I take the Coug's, I think a late touchdown gives them a win by 10-14.

TheSizzle36 · 09-27-2006, 04:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Archaea

Although my homer tendencies will make me want to pick BYU, my head says TCU "at the wire."

OTH, TCU isn't wonderful so I wouldn't be surprised for BYU to finally win an important game, in Beck's last chance. If BYU wins, it will be the result of NOT having to ride Beck in to the win.

24- 17 TCU.

I think that is my exact prediction on Cougarboard. But I am leaning closer and closer to wanting to pick BYU. I don't know if I can or not... we'll see come tomorrow.

Surfah · 09-27-2006, 04:57 PM

27-20 TCU. I want to believe, I do. But to keep it real, I try and predict with my wallet and not my heart.

jay santos · 09-27-2006, 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Goatnapper'96

to lose every possible big game. Sometime the simple fact that he is a pretty good college qb should allow him to win one.

I take the Coug's, I think a late touchdown gives them a win by 10-14.

I know you're being facetious, but you point out a principle of math that many don't get right.

If Beck's probability to win a big game is say 33% and his actual result is 0 for 10, then many would say "he's due". Each game is an isolated event. So the next game he's in, his probability would be 33%.

There is no such as thing as "being due". Mathematical fallacy.

Goatnapper'96 · 09-27-2006, 05:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay santos

I know you're being facetious, but you point out a principle of math that many don't get right.

If Beck's probability to win a big game is say 33% and his actual result is 0 for 10, then many would say "he's due". Each game is an isolated event. So the next game he's in, his probability would be 33%.

There is no such as thing as "being due". Mathematical fallacy.

So we agree that he is due?

Cool!

il Padrino Ute · 09-27-2006, 05:37 PM

TCU in a close one - 23-20.

OhioBlue · 09-27-2006, 08:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay santos

I know you're being facetious, but you point out a principle of math that many don't get right.

If Beck's probability to win a big game is say 33% and his actual result is 0 for 10, then many would say "he's due". Each game is an isolated event. So the next game he's in, his probability would be 33%.

There is no such as thing as "being due". Mathematical fallacy.

Isn't this called The Gamblers' Fallacy? Or something like that.

I understand the point, but I'm with Goat and I still think he's due. :-) We're all due, for cryin' out loud. Just get one of these finally.

myboynoah · 09-27-2006, 08:25 PM

I'm with Goat too. BYU going away.

OhioBlue · 09-28-2006, 02:51 PM

This morning I woke up in a funky mood.

So here's my funky prediction for tonight (I predicted something like 28-17 BYU on the other site):

TCU's offense really IS that bad. BYU's defense plays better than Baylor or Tech, especially the run defense. They match up very well with the speed at LB and lateral pursuit ability. Ballard gets blown up at least 4 times and is responsible for 2 turnovers.

BYU wins, and not because the offense wows everyone. They do just enough against a very stingy TCU defense. BYU wins because the defense is just sick, combined with TCU's offense being a different kind of sick. The result is one that nobody expected:

BYU 16
TCU 0

How you like them apples.

09-27-2006, 04:32 PM	#1
Archaea Assistant to the Regional Manager Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: The Orgasmatron Posts: 24,338	Predictions for TCU Although my homer tendencies will make me want to pick BYU, my head says TCU "at the wire." OTH, TCU isn't wonderful so I wouldn't be surprised for BYU to finally win an important game, in Beck's last chance. If BYU wins, it will be the result of NOT having to ride Beck in to the win. 24- 17 TCU. __________________ Ἓν οἶδα ὅτι οὐδὲν οἶδα

09-27-2006, 04:51 PM	#2
Goatnapper'96 Recruiting Coordinator/Bosom Inspector Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 3,412	Beck just does not suck bad enough to lose every possible big game. Sometime the simple fact that he is a pretty good college qb should allow him to win one. I take the Coug's, I think a late touchdown gives them a win by 10-14. __________________ She had a psychiatrist who said because I didn't trust the water system, the school system, the government, I was paranoid," he said. "I had a psychiatrist who said her psychiatrist was stupid."

09-27-2006, 04:57 PM	#4
Surfah Master Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: F'burg, VA Posts: 3,211	27-20 TCU. I want to believe, I do. But to keep it real, I try and predict with my wallet and not my heart. __________________ Ernie Johnson: "Auburn is a pretty good school. To graduate from there I suppose you really need to work hard and put forth maximum effort." Charles Barkley: "20 pts and 10 rebounds will get you through also!"

09-27-2006, 05:37 PM	#7
il Padrino Ute Board Pinhead Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: In the basement of my house, Murray, Utah. Posts: 15,941	TCU in a close one - 23-20. __________________ "The beauty of baseball is not having to explain it." - Chuck Shriver "This is now the joke that stupid people laugh at." - Christopher Hitchens on IQ jokes about GWB.

09-27-2006, 08:25 PM	#9
myboynoah Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Memphis freakin' Tennessee!!!!! Posts: 4,530	I'm with Goat too. BYU going away. __________________ Give 'em Hell, Cougars!!! Religion rises inevitably from our apprehension of our own death. To give meaning to meaninglessness is the endless quest of all religion. When death becomes the center of our consciousness, then religion authentically begins. Of all religions that I know, the one that most vehemently and persuasively defies and denies the reality of death is the original Mormonism of the Prophet, Seer and Revelator, Joseph Smith.

09-28-2006, 02:51 PM	#10
OhioBlue Member Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Ames, IA Posts: 469	This morning I woke up in a funky mood. So here's my funky prediction for tonight (I predicted something like 28-17 BYU on the other site): TCU's offense really IS that bad. BYU's defense plays better than Baylor or Tech, especially the run defense. They match up very well with the speed at LB and lateral pursuit ability. Ballard gets blown up at least 4 times and is responsible for 2 turnovers. BYU wins, and not because the offense wows everyone. They do just enough against a very stingy TCU defense. BYU wins because the defense is just sick, combined with TCU's offense being a different kind of sick. The result is one that nobody expected: BYU 16 TCU 0 How you like them apples. __________________ On the other hand, you have different fingers. -- Steven Wright